{"id":2963,"date":"2017-03-20T12:55:55","date_gmt":"2017-03-20T11:55:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.actvism.org\/?p=2963"},"modified":"2020-11-06T17:48:55","modified_gmt":"2020-11-06T16:48:55","slug":"russland-x-cia-analyst-ray-mcgovern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/en\/opinions\/russland-x-cia-analyst-ray-mcgovern\/","title":{"rendered":"German Intel Clears Russia on Interference | Article written by an X-CIA Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"row justify-content-md-center\">\n<div class=\"col-md-8 pb-3\">\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><b>German Intel Clears Russia on Interference<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><b>Exclusive:<\/b><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">\u00a0Mainstream U.S. media only wants stories of Russian perfidy, so when German intelligence cleared Moscow of suspected subversion of German democracy, the silence was deafening, says ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">By Ray McGovern<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">After a multi-month, politically charged investigation, German intelligence agencies <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sueddeutsche.de\/politik\/geheimdienste-bnd-keine-beweise-fuer-desinformations-kampagne-putins-1.3365839\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><u>could find no good evidence<\/u><\/span><\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"> of Moscow-directed cyber-attacks or a disinformation campaign aimed at subverting the democratic process in Germany. Undaunted, Chancellor Angela Merkel has commissioned a new investigation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Last year, Berlin\u2019s two main intelligence agencies, the BND and BfV (counterparts of the CIA and FBI) launched a joint investigation to substantiate allegations that Russia was meddling in German political affairs and attempting to shape the outcome of Germany\u2019s elections next September.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Like the vast majority of Americans malnourished on \u201cmainstream media,\u201d most Germans have been led to believe that, by hacking and \u201cpropaganda,\u201d the Kremlin interfered in the recent U.S. election and helped Donald Trump become president.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">German intelligence agencies rarely bite the hand that feeds them and realize that the most bountiful part of the trough is at the CIA station in Berlin with ultimate guidance coming from CIA headquarters in Langley, Virginia. But this time, in an unusual departure from past practice, analysts at the BND and BfV decided to act like responsible adults.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Whereas former CIA Director John Brennan prevailed on his analysts to resort to anemic, evidence-light reasoning \u201cassessing\u201d that Russia tried to tip the U.S. election to Donald Trump, Berlin\u2019s intelligence agencies found the evidence lacking and have now completed their investigation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Better still, the conclusions have been reported in a mainstream German newspaper, <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>Sueddeutsche Zeitung,<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"> apparently because a patriotic insider thought the German people should also know.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><b>Lemmings No Longer?<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">If BND President Bruno Kahl thought that his own analysts could be depended upon to follow their American counterparts lemming-like and find evidence \u2013 Curveball-style \u2013 to support the U.S. allegations, he now has had a rude awakening.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">When the joint investigation was under way with his analysts doing their best to come up with reliable evidence of Russian perfidy, Kahl had behaved like his BND predecessors, parroting the charges made by his CIA counterpart, that the Russians were fomenting uncertainty and instability in Germany and elsewhere in Europe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">In <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sueddeutsche.de\/politik\/bruno-kahl-im-interview-stoerversuche-aus-russland-\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><u>a rare interview<\/u><\/span><\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"> with the mainstream newspaper, <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>Sueddeutsche Zeitung<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">, on Nov. 28, 2016, Kahl went out on what he probably thought was a safe limb, denouncing subversive \u201cinterference\u201d by the Russians (\u201cas they did in the U.S.\u201d).\u00a0He was just a few months into his job and may have been na\u00efve enough to consider what John Brennan said as gospel truth.\u00a0(If he really is that gullible, Kahl is in the wrong profession.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">In the interview, Kahl played the puppet-doll Charlie McCarthy with Brennan in the role of Charlie\u2019s ventriloquist Edgar Bergen. Kahl told the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>Sueddeutsche <\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">that he agreed with the U.S. intelligence \u201cassessment\u201d that the Kremlin was behind the cyber attacks aimed at influencing the U.S. election.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">He added: \u201cWe know that cyber attacks are taking place and that they have no purpose other than to produce political instability. \u2026 Not only that.\u00a0The perpetrators are interested in delegitimizing the democratic process itself. \u2026 I have the impression that the outcome of the American election has evoked no sadness in Russia so far. \u2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u201c<span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Europe is [now] the focus of these disruption experiments, and Germany especially. \u2026 The pressure on the public discourse and on democracy is unacceptable.\u201d Sound familiar?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Still, one might excuse the novice BND president for assuming his analysts would remember which side their bread is buttered on and follow past precedent in coming up with conclusions known to be desired by their masters in Berlin and the CIA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">So it must have come as an unwelcome surprise to Kahl when he found out that, this time, BND analysts would stand on principle and refuse to be as malleable as their Washington counterparts. His analysts could find no proof that the Kremlin was working hard to undermine the democratic process in Germany, and said so.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Worse still from the U.S. point of view, the two German intelligence agencies resisted the usual pressure from some senior leaders in Berlin (perhaps including Kahl himself) to jam whatever innocuous information they could find into the anti-Russian mosaic that Washington was constructing, a kind of Cubist version of distorted reality.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><b>And So, a Do-Over<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">So, what do powerful officials do when the bureaucracy comes up with \u201cincorrect\u201d conclusions? They send the analysts and investigators back to work until they come up with \u201ccorrect\u201d answers. This turned out to be no exception.\u00a0Absent evidence of hacking directed by the Kremlin, the Germans now have opted for an approach by which information can be fudged more easily.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">According to the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>Sueddeutsche<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">, \u201cChancellor Merkel\u2019s office has now ordered a new inquiry. Notably, a \u2018psychological operations group\u2019 jointly run by the BND and BfV will specifically look at Russian news agencies\u2019 coverage in Germany.\u201d\u00a0We can expect that any articles that don\u2019t portray Vladimir Putin in a devil\u2019s costume will be judged \u201cRussian propaganda.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">For guidance, Merkel may well give the new \u201cinvestigators\u201d a copy of the evidence-free CIA\/FBI\/NSA \u201cAssessment: Russia\u2019s Influence Campaign Targeting the 2016 US Presidential Election.\u201d Released on Jan. 6, the report was an eyesore and embarrassment to serious intelligence professionals.\u00a0The lame \u201cevidence\u201d presented, together with all the \u201cassessing\u201d indulged in by U.S. analysts, was unable to fill five pages; filler was needed \u2013 preferably filler that could be made to look like analysis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">And so, seven more pages were tacked onto the CIA\/FBI\/NSA Assessment, even though the information presented in them had nothing to do with the <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>cause celebre of<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"> Russian hacking.\u00a0No problem: The additional seven pages bore the ominous title: \u201cAnnex A: Russia \u2013 Kremlin\u2019s TV Seeks To Influence Politics, Fuel Discontent in US.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">The extra pages, in turn, were then used to support the following indictment: \u201cRussia\u2019s state-run propaganda machine contributed to the influence campaign by serving as a platform for Kremlin messaging to Russian and international audiences.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><b>Did an Insider Leak?<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">It is not clear how the German daily Sueddeutsche acquired the conclusions of the joint investigation or even whether it has the full 50-page copy of the final report.\u00a0The newspaper did make it clear, though, that it now realizes it was played by Kahl with his unsupported accusations last November.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">From what the newspaper was told, the analysts seemed willing to give the boss what he had already declared to be his desired conclusion, but the evidence simply wasn\u2019t there. The article quotes one security expert saying, \u201cWe would have been happy to give Russia a yellow card,\u201d a soccer metaphor referring to improper conduct. A cabinet source lamented, \u201cWe found no smoking gun.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">Initially, the BND and BfV planned to release excerpts of their still classified inquiry, the Sueddeutsche reported, but it\u2019s now not clear when, if ever, the full report will be released.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">The day after the Sueddeutsche story appeared, some other media outlets reported on it \u2013 briefly. Newsweek and Politico gave the scoop all of three sentences each. Not fitting with the preferred \u201cRussia-is-guilty-of-everything\u201d narrative, it then died a quick death. I have been unable to find the story mentioned at all in major U.S. \u201cmainstream media\u201d outlets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">If Americans became aware of the story, it was probably via RT \u2013 the b\u00eate noire of the abovementioned CIA\/FBI\/NSA report condemning Russian \u201cpropaganda.\u201d Can it become any clearer why RT America and RT International are despised by the U.S. government and the \u201cmainstream media?\u201d Many Americans are slowly realizing they cannot count on American network and cable TV for accurate news and are tuning in to RT at least for the other side of these important stories.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">It was from a early morning call from RT International that I first learned of the Feb. 7 <\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"><i>Sueddeutsche Zeitung<\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\"> report on Germany\u2019s failed hunt for evidence of Russian electoral interference.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Times,serif;\">To view<a href=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\"> acTVism Munich&#8217;s<\/a> Interview with Ray McGovern, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=DbnWxeI_tvY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here.<\/a><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><strong>ABOUT\u00a0 RAY MCGOVERN <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/rayaloneconyers.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" alignleft wp-image-699 size-thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/rayaloneconyers-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"rayaloneconyers\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><strong>Ray McGovern<\/strong> works with Tell the Word, a publishing arm of the ecumenical Church of the Saviour in inner-city Washington.<\/p>\n<p>During his 27 years as a CIA analyst, he was chief of the Soviet Foreign Policy branch in the 60s, and Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Western Europe in the 70s.\u00a0McGovern now serves on the Steering Group of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><span class=\"fbPhotosPhotoCaption\" tabindex=\"0\" data-ft=\"{\"><span class=\"hasCaption\"><span class=\"text_exposed_show\">Note: All opinions expressed are the author\u2019s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of acTVsm Munich.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>Donate to support independent, non-profit and critical journalism!<\/h2>\n<p lang=\"de-DE\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/en\/donate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Click here or on the picture below.<\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/en\/donate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1283 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Banner-Spende-Webseite_E-1024x342.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Banner-Spende-Webseite_E-1024x342.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Banner-Spende-Webseite_E-300x100.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Banner-Spende-Webseite_E-700x233.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.actvism.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Banner-Spende-Webseite_E.jpg 1418w\" alt=\"Banner Spende Webseite_E\" width=\"640\" height=\"214\" \/><\/a><\/h2>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Exclusive: Mainstream U.S. media only wants stories of Russian perfidy, so when German intelligence cleared Moscow of suspected subversion of German democracy, the silence was deafening, says ex-CIA analyst Ray McGovern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,40,886],"tags":[],"channel":[],"class_list":["post-2963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest","category-pictures","category-opinions"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"en","enabled_languages":["de","en"],"languages":{"de":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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